Controlling What We Cannot Measure: Simplification and the EU Dual-Use Regulation

Controlling What We Cannot Measure: Simplification and the EU Dual-Use Regulation

Controlling What We Cannot Measure: Simplification and the EU Dual-Use Regulation

Rutger Brattström // 21 October 2026

The Commission is evaluating whether the EU’s Dual-Use Regulation is still fit for purpose. One of the Regulation’s aims is to reduce administrative burden on businesses. Yet the Commission publishes no data on licence processing times, sets no deadline for licensing decisions and has no current estimate of compliance costs. Its only quantified claim about exporters’ costs has never been verified.

In this briefing, Rutger Brattström of Timbro argues that this gap matters more than ever. Commercial technologies such as drones and sensors now shape modern warfare and change within months, while updating EU control lists can take years. He concludes that simplification is a matter of European security.

The main findings of the briefing include:

  • Measure and publish licence processing times and compliance costs.
  • Introduce statutory decision deadlines, with a right to reasons.
  • Broaden EU General Export Authorisations, including for Ukraine and NATO allies.
  • Create a de-listing mechanism based on a foreign availability test.
  • Keep control lists at Union level rather than national level.
  • Avoid US-style extraterritorial reach.

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EPICENTER publications and contributions from our member think tanks are designed to promote the discussion of economic issues and the role of markets in solving economic and social problems. As with all EPICENTER publications, the views expressed here are those of the author and not EPICENTER or its member think tanks (which have no corporate view).

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EPICENTER publications and contributions from our member think tanks are designed to promote the discussion of economic issues and the role of markets in solving economic and social problems. As with all EPICENTER publications, the views expressed here are those of the author and not EPICENTER or its member think tanks (which have no corporate view).

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EPICENTER publications and contributions from our member think tanks are designed to promote the discussion of economic issues and the role of markets in solving economic and social problems. As with all EPICENTER publications, the views expressed here are those of the author and not EPICENTER or its member think tanks (which have no corporate view).

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