
Authoritarian Populism Index
February 20, 2019
Timbro’s Authoritarian Populism Index is the only Europe-wide comprehensive study that aims to shed light on whether populism poses a long-term threat. The Index... Read more »
Authoritarian Populism Index
Timbro’s Authoritarian Populism Index is the only Europe-wide comprehensive study that aims to shed light on whether populism poses a long-term threat. The Index explores the rise of authoritarian populism in Europe by analysing electoral data from 1980 to 2019.
The survey begins with 1980, since the overwhelming majority of today’s populist parties emerged during the 1980s and 1990s. Countries are included as soon as they are categorised as a “free” society by Freedom House, an American, governmental-funded NGO. Hence, most post-communist countries enter the survey in 1990, Serbia in 2000 and Croatia in 2001.
Results are included for every party in all elections to national parliaments. Presidential elections, elections to the European Parliament and regional or local elections are excluded.
20 February 2019
The 2019 edition of Timbro Authoritarian Populism Index shows that 2018 was the best year to date for populist parties across Europe. Today, their average voter support is at 22.2 percent. This is an increase with 1.5 percent compared to 2017. In addition, this is the second biggest increase on record between two consecutive years.
Key conclusions of the index
20 February 2019
Populism is both a style of politics and an ideology with a stipulated division of politics and society between a corrupt, exploitative elite and a united and virtuous people.
Right populists have come to support a dirigiste national economic policy, strong assertion of traditional national identity, and the assertion of a European identity against the non-European world.
The 2019 Authoritarian Populism Index shows an increase in support for populist parties across Europe, with populists of right and left in power – either alone or in coalition – in 11 EU countries.
There are several possibilities for the future of populism, the most likely being that the emerging ideology and politics of national collectivism will become more explicit. It’s probable that politics in most European countries will align around a new division between nationalism and globalism.
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February 20, 2019
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